For the next few Sundays Springfield's leaf recycling centers will be open.  City ordinances prohibit the dumping of leaves and yard waste into streets and waterways; this includes street gutters.  Open burning of trees, brush, or any other vegetation requires an open-burning permit, but the open burning of leaves is prohibited.  Legal alternatives to the leaf recycling centers include mulching and backyard composting.

While the US, Canada, and Europe diverge from each other in many ways, they are consistent in the fact that yard waste makes up 20% to 30% of municipally-collected solid waste.  (Food waste makes up another 8% to 9%.)  Collecting, hauling and processing yard waste can constitute an average of 20% of the waste management budget, although the number rises to 50% in some localities.

The Michigan legislature is approaching this perennial problem in an interesting/controversial new way.  After nineteen yard-waste-free years, they are proposing to to re-introduce yard waste into the trash flow ending up in landfills--but only if 70% of the gas (mostly methane) from the decomposition of garbage is recovered and used as energy supply.  While landfills would then derive more revenue from the sale of energy and increased waste volume, environmentalists worry about the unrecovered methane, an extremely potent and volatile greenhouse gas.

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As early as June '08, the Springfield-Greene County Health Department not only recognized, quantified, and evaluated Greene County health-care deficits, but pulled together a consortium of providers to address some very pressing issues.

The director of the health department estimated at that time that about 37,000 people in Greene County had no health insurance.  Another 74,000 were estimated to be underinsured (defined as having to pay more than 10% out of pocket for health care).  These numbers accounted for 43.57% of the total population, a figure that can only become more bleak since national health care spending has increased at an annual average rate of 10% since the Sixties.  Without some sort of remediation, it seems inevitable that more than half the population of Greene County will become uninsured or underinsured in the foreseeable future.

The problem doesn't stop there.  Of that part of the Greene County population that had some degree or form of health insurance, 33% had some type of public insurance.  With an aging population and both large and small employers cutting back or eliminating health coverage, it remains to be seen how that number will hold up.

Fast forward to 2009.  The number of uninsured people in Greene County is now estimated at 40,000, an 8.1% annual increase.  The Kitchen Clinic, a typical safety-net clinic operating at capacity, turned away 230 people in June.  Data released in late September by the Census Bureau show 11.3% of children in Missouri's 7th Congressional District to be uninsured.  The percentage of uninsured adults (ages 18-64) in the 7th district is 22.8; that's nearly 100,000 people.

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Semiannually there is a (nearly) national undercurrent of grumbling and whining.  A couple of states and four US territories are oblivious to this--because they don't observe daylight saving time (DST).  (Not "daylight savings time," although most people want to call it that.)

The Internet has given the disgruntled an outlet to move beyond annoying their friends and relatives with their utter dissatisfaction with the DST concept or application.  Web sites have sprung up, advocating either ending DST or extending it year-round.

In its present configuration, DST will go away for only four winter months.  The most-often cited reason for its existence is energy savings.  More than one critical eye is being turned on this claim, however; the most serious contender is a 36-page academic paper making the point that DST actually increases residential energy demand by a substantial amount.  (If 36 academic pages are more than you want to deal with, here's USA TODAY's q&a on the study.)  Another quasi-scientific study purports to show that the productivity of US knowledge workers is diminished by $480 million by DST.

Another commentator finds DST deadly, but advises against bringing up the matter lest Congress impose a National Bedtime Hour!  He also notes the existence of a 240-page book, Spring Forward:  The Annual Madness of Daylight Saving Time, that one review says "draws much mirth from the facts about DST and its amorphous benefits."

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How does Wal-Mart sell a $24 book for nine bucks?  By eating at least a $3.72 loss on each copy.  Is this a good idea in the long run?  We'll see.

While that battle rages, here are some of the latest titles we've received:

Boom Town:  How Wal-Mart Transformed an All-American Town into an International Community examines the transformation of Bentonville from a sleepy backwater with a population of 2,900 to a culturally and ethnically diversified community of 30,000.  Tyson Foods and J. B. Hunt also are headquartered in the area.

Investors large and small have learned the meaning of the phrase "financial debacle" in '08 and early '09.  Jim Cramer's Getting Back to Even suggests how to put the wheels back on the wagon with chapters such as The Next Big Thing, How Your Generation Should Respond to the Crash, and 25 New Rules.

The ever-provocative Barbara Ehrenreich continues her gadfly role with Bright-Sided:  How the Relentless Promotion of Positive Thinking Has Undermined America.  Ponder her chapter How Positive Thinking Destroyed the Economy.  The book is summarized as "an urgent call for a new commitment to realism, existential clarity and courage."

Obsolete:  An Encyclopedia of Once-Common Things Passing Us By is a quirky collection of short essays on more than 100 topics such as Blind Dates, Camera Film, Writing Letters, Privacy, and, yes, Books.

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Driving back to Kansas City from St. Louis on I-70 recently, a newspaper commentator and his wife counted 61 billboards that were blank or had no paid advertising.

Advertisers' growing fascination with online media is part of it.  But the economic downturn continues unabated for the outdoor advertising/billboard industry, resulting in their worst profit drop-off in three decades.  An industry analyst expects those 14-by-48 foot billboards along a highway near you to have vacancy rates in 30%-land, which translates into a 15% revenue decline this year.

One of the bigger signs--around 100 feet tall--can cost about $200,000 to install; add the cost of insuring it and any substantial down time means balance-sheet red ink.  Companies large and small are responding by mothballing their least profitable locations, downsizing staff, and shelving high-tech display upgrades.  Louisiana-based Lamar Advertising, third-largest billboard operator nationwide, has closed 1,800 billboards and smaller displays but still reported an $11.8 million second-quarter loss.

Many companies would like to revitalize by moving to the luminous, LCD-style signs, but are being thwarted by cost (twice that of a conventional sign) and opposition from some states and communities that view the flashing and animation as a nuisance and traffic hazard.  Banks have been less than enthusiastic about providing financing.

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"You couldn't pay me enough to do that."  But not everybody feels that way.  Nor can people agree on what would make a career path so distasteful as to remove it from consideration.  For instance, the fact that the median salary for a veterinarian is $73,000+ in itself tends to mitigate the poop-and-pus factor.  PayScale has assembled a list of jobs, the dollar signs of which might offset their intimate connection witih ick.

The repugnant features of certain jobs are apt to assure that there will be plenty of openings.  Portable toilet cleaner and garbage collector positions tend to be easy to get.  Ditto sewer workers; in some cities, they come across the occasional corpse.

The Discovery Channel's Dirty Jobs show explores this--in amazing detail.  Those who are not faint of heart nor weak of stomach will find their web site, um..., fascinating, shall we say?  (Personally, I abandoned ship when I got to Poo Pot Maker.)

Which leads us to the important social-policy question (and the justification for the paragraphs above):  are there really jobs in America that only immigrants will do?  Government-generated statistics used by the Center for Immigration Studies don't indicate that.  Even before the recession only four civilian occupations (out of 465) were majority immigrant.  Even in those four occupations (which account for less than one percent of the workforce), the native-born workforce stood at 47%.  In media-stereotyped jobs:  maids/housekeeper - 55% native-born; taxi driver, chauffers, etc. - 58% native-born; construction laborers - 65% native-born.

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About one of every eight Missourians lacked health insurance in 2007 and 2008. For the same period, the percentage of Missourians with employer-provided coverage was 64.4%, down from 72.5% in 2000-2001. As opposed to talk show and Internet chatter and hearsay, the numbers are from the Census Bureau.

Another report from the Department of Health and Human Services finds that the number of uninsured Missourians increased to some 739,000 in 2008, up 41% from about 524,000 in 2001.  Troubling specifics:  nonelderly adults without insurance in Missouri increased to 17.5% from 13.5% and Missouri workers without insurance increased to 15.8% from 12.6%.

Also using Census material, the Missouri Budget Project notes that the vast majority of uninsured Missourians (72%) are in a family with at least one full-time worker.  It's not hard to connect these numbers with the fact that family premium costs in Missouri have increased by 92% in just the last decade.  In 2006, the average family premium in Missouri was more than $11,000, about 9% of a middle-income family's income and out of reach for many lower-income families.  And those small businesses that are still able to provide employee health benefits are likely to see their costs more than double over the next ten years.

This pressing social problem is greatly compounded by the comparatively forgotten underinsured.  An estimated 25 million Americans are underinsured.  High deductible plans and exclusions of pre-existing conditions render this segment of the population particularly vulnerable, with coverage that costs too much and provides too little.  This is critical in a state such as Missouri that has a significantly large rural population; 33% of farmers and ranchers are undisputably underinsured and rural residents in general are twice as likely to be underinsured as urban residents.

Having narrowed the health-care focus to Missouri this week, next week we'll bring the problem even closer to home. 

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A brand can be defined as "the sum of all the associations, feelings, attitudes, and perceptions that people have related to the tangible and intangible characteristics of a company, product, or service."

The fact is that brands that have taken years of talent and resources to painstakingly build can be drastically diminished or fatally damaged in short order.  Such brand catastrophes can be self-inflicted or due to events entirely beyond the brand holder's control.

Hyatt Hotels' Boston debacle is a current, shoot-yourself-in-the-foot example.  As a cost-cutting move at three hotels, Hyatt fired their entire housekeeping staff, outsourcing the positions to contractors who would bring in lower-cost workers.  Media reports had Hyatt getting the soon-to-be-departing staff to train their replacements, telling them that these were to be "vacation subs."  The resulting (surprise?) vilification of Hyatt immediately came from all quarters, even uniting groups and individuals who disagreed with each other in every other conceivable way!  As an ironic coincidence, BusinessWeek had just recognized Hyatt as "Best Place to Launch a Career," thus drawing that entity into the unsavory mess.  It remains to be seen whether Hyatt will attempt to ride out the storm or opt for some sort of damage control.  Either way, their public image is thoroughly trashed, perhaps for a long time to come.  [Sept. 28th update:  Hyatt has released a statement in which they "recognize and regret that we did not handle all parts of the transition in a way that reflects our organization's values."  They put foward a new severance offer, involving temp jobs.]

This isn't an unforeseeable lightning strike, such as Domino's Pizza getting blindsided by employees doing disgusting things.  Rather, this is short-term thinking overriding long-term considerations.  An example from the past would be Packard, which once thoroughly dominated Cadillac in the premium luxury car category.  To boost sales during the Great Depression, Packard introduced a middle-market model.  As time went on, buyers came to perceive Packard as just another mid-price vehicle and Cadillac as the top-end choice.  By '57, Packard was off the scene and Cadillac reigned.  As we speak, Cadillac seems determined to do a "Packard," losing its cachet by diluting its brand.

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A year after the financial-industry meltdown was on the verge of becoming Great Depression 2.0, a new Associated Press poll finds that 70% of Americans feel that the financial industry still is too unregulated to prevent another such occurrence.  In this week of the first anniversary of the Lehman Brothers bankruptcy, nearly 80% of the respondents say that risky lending practices were largely responsible for the recession.

As the recession picked up steam last year, articles began to appear recommending "recession-proof" stocks.  Let's revisit these predictions now that we have about a year's worth of outcome.

On September 8th of last year, Ryan Goldberg, one of many Minyanville Media "professors," gave us seven such companies.  Here are the results for 9/15/08 through 9/14/09 AM:  Urban Outfitters (-18%); McDonald's (-15.7%); Fortune Brands (-32.43%); Rent-A-Center (-19.04%); Wal-Mart (-19.37%); Ace Cash Express (-30.71%).  The seventh company, Purina, is privately held.

Last September 29th, the renowned Motley Fool queried their supercomputer for five stocks "that look like they could do well in any extended downturn."  Three of these have turned in disasterous outcomes:  Torm A/S (ADR) (-64.33%); Agria (-51.47%); Hornbeck Offshore Svcs (-35.69%).  Nationwide Health Properties is disappointing at -13.25%.  Fomento Economico Mexicano is pretty much of a wash at -1.45%.

In early August '08, Jim Kramer went out on a limb with recession-proof stocks that "will become the most treasured."  His blue-chip approach also came up short.  Results range from Heinz (-24.33%) and Procter & Gamble (-24.48%) to Colgate-Palmolive (-6.21%), Unilever (-5.99%), and Coca-Cola (-4.39%).  His other picks were General Mills (-12.52%) and Pepsico (-19.71%).

What about stocks that actually have done well?  How about Alpha Pro Tech (+371.23%)?  Or Valassis Communications (think Sunday newspaper coupon inserts) (+85.29%)?  Or Sinovac Biotech (+213.74%)?  Did they do well because of the recession?  Would they have done even better if the recession hadn't occurred?  Or was the recession even a factor?

A far-from-comprehensive list of other twelve-month gainers:  Kirkland's (+397.78); Cott (+361.22); Spectrum Pharmaceuticals (+382.58); Dollar Thrifty Auto (+303.61); Stec (343.76); China Green Agriculture (+276.36); Fuqi Intl. (+225.27); Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (+201.76).

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CareerBuilder.com puts an interesting spin on Labor Day with an article on all the unseen and behind-the-scenes people who make your day happen.  Let's make that specific to a library.

Let's say that you're browsing the library shelves and decide to check out the book Becoming Eichmann, a biography of the Nazi "administrator" and war criminal.  In this limited space it's impossible to mention everybody who has a major or minor role in making this come to pass. But here's a substantial list:

*the book's author.
*the project sponsor's personnel--in this case at "Legacy of the Holocaust."
*the funding agency's personnel--in this case at the Arts & Humanities Research Board.
*the scholars whom the author approached to comment on his draft text.
*the publisher's many functionaries--editors, proofreaders, indexers, artists, designers, etc.
*the paper industry workers--loggers, mill workers, etc.
*the ink manufacturer's and supplier's personnel.
*the book compositor's personnel--typesetters, scanners, etc.
*the printers (and of course those involved in manufacturing the printing machinery).
*the bindery staff (and those responsible for their glue and other supplies).
*transportation of machinery, components, etc.--and of the book copies themselves.
*the petroleum industry and auto workers, tire makers, etc. who enabled the transportation.
*the warehouse operatives to store and ship the finished copies.
*the various functionaries of the vendor/distributor who specializes in books for libraries.
*The Library's book selection and acquisition personnel.
*The Library's technical workers who ready books for the shelves.
*The Library's pages who retrieve, move, and shelve materials.
*The Library's computer services workers who maintain patron and material records.
*The Library's circulation staff who check out the book to you.

And this far-from-complete list should include the support staff at each point along the way--janitors, maintenance workers, cafeteria staff, the people who make and supply necessary furniture, utility workers, clerks, etc.  So much so that a great part of our interconnected culture and economy is involved in that book in your hand.

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What do Bill Gates, a Jesuit priest, an award-winning filmmaker, and an author of books on Deadheads, chess, and pandemics have in common?  They all share Henry David Thoreau's yearning to live life more deliberately.

Twice a year, Bill Gates puts in a series of special 18- to 24-hour days.  These "Think Weeks" are totally focused, uninterruptible events that have taken place since about 1984.  Gates, fueled by Diet Orange Crush, uses them to ponder the future of Microsoft and technology.

Rev. Thomas Massaro is impressed that Ken Burns, in a recent commencement address, recognized that mobile technology distracts people and disengages them from one another.  Massaro says:  "If technology is rendering this sort of deliberate oblivion more likely, then let's unplug and make a choice for immediacy."  For he believes that it isn't so much about mobile technology as it is about human choices.

Bestselling author David Shenk has written about everything from kids' toys to the reinvention of agriculture.  However, he feels that his "tiny speck of immortality" has been earned by the inclusion of his phrase "data smog" in the Oxford English Dictionary in 2004.  The phrase refers to the sheer volume of readily available information that a person feels a desire or compulsion to deal with.  Often the result is a paralysis of analysis.

If these paragraphs and their linked sources strike uncomfortably close to home, consider a data fast.  Laptop, phone, PDA, newspaper, any sort of info-yielding device or object--off the scene for a substantial predetermined period of time.  If you're not quite ready to take that plunge, how about a data retreat?  While the data fast makes the infobabble go away for a while, the data retreat holds it at arm's length!

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As a professional librarian practicing in southwest Missouri libraries for more than three decades, I've seen many changes, major and minor.  One depressing and disappointing constant, however, has been the voraciousness of scamsters.  While the "packaging" of the scam may change to suit the current situation, the basic psychology and techniques of exploitation play over and over again.  Although both the victimizer and the victimized bear varying degrees of responsibility, the seemingly endless supply of predators is disheartening.

The Better Business Bureau tracks recent scam trends.  Phony payday loan debt collectors are prevalent at the moment, as are the traveling home improvement operations, a perennial blight that has been dubbed "rent-a-creep."  An assortment of credit-related schemes is out there; "lower your credit card interest rate" and "fix your credit" are come-on features.

The Federal Trade Commission also labors long and hard to track and thwart the swindles. Among the most targeted sectors currently:  job placement and home foreclosure rescue.  On the green scene, the FTC has reached a settlement with a company that was claiming that its rayon products were "100% bamboo fibers"!  And the maliciously mercenary quickly found Cash for Clunkers opportunities.

Internet ScamBusters currently is tracking nearly 350 ingeniously assorted scams!  Subscribe to their weekly updates to stay current.  Their prevention and reporting resources lead to the most objective, current information.

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Last week I pointed out some of the timely business and finance titles added to our collection in just one week.  This week I'll concentrate on some of another week's titles, those for the week that ended August 7th.

In addition to reliability, lack of bias, and timeliness, we also look to meet a variety of needs and interests.  The New Influencers examines the marketing and PR implications of blogs and other Web-based social media; viral marketing and consumer interaction are just a part of this new dynamic.  Approaching marketing from a very diffent standpoint, Selling When No One Is Buying contends that the correct mix of confidence, finesse, and dedication are far more important than woes that the Dow may be experiencing.  How to Instantly Connect with Anyone addresses that finesse issue, whether you're on the phone, using email, or meeting and greeting.  But don't be victimized by The Bully at Work; identify allies, build confidence, and stand up to the tormentor!

On the financial front, Recession-Proof Your Financial Life by protecting your job, getting out of debt, and safeguarding and building assets.  And if you're a One-Income Household, financial hardship doesn't have to be an inevitable reality.

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In building our collection of available business and financial titles we strive for reliability, lack of bias, and timeliness.  There is a word for such information when it is not timely--that word is "misinformation"!

During the week ending July 31st we added a number of timely titles, including The Golden Rules for Managers.  Originally published in 2000, this title will help establish priorities in a rebounding economy.  The Power of Who shakes up and rebuilds the networking concept, pointing out that you already know everybody that you need to know!  Where Underpants Come From uses inexpensive underwear to explore the web of contacts and exchanges that make today's global economy viable, particularly delineating China's developing economic superpower status.

When it comes to practical personal finance, Miserly Moms comes out in a fourth edition to help families live more frugally while still reaching their economic goals.  Index Investing for Dummies touts unmanaged, diversified exposure in a variety of asset classes.  The 1-2-3 Money Plan, by the syndicated author of last year's Living Rich by Spending Smart, stresses that it is far easier to hold onto a dollar than to earn one.

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Even in the best of times, "first generation starts it, second generation builds it, and the third generation usually fritters it away," says prominent local businessman Harry Cooper.  He and his brother Jack are the third-generation owners of Harry Cooper Supply.  Obviously they mean to be a distinct exception to that rule!

Family businesses always are prone to tensions.  The difficult and even painful decisions necessitated by hard economic times focus and aggravate these tensions.  Conflicts that could be pushed to the background when the coffers were flush are now front and center.  And as one family business member commented:  "It's a meeting place where we form our identities and the stories that carry us through life."  Downsizing Cousin Dave is not a story anybody wants to carry through life.

As the New York Times insightfully puts it:  "Recessions, like bullies, always pick on the weak."  But financial weakness does necessarily translate into or devolve from weakness of character.  As the patriarch of one family business says:  "We've established ourselves as people of integrity.  That integrity would be shot to hell if we said, "O.K., it's bankruptcy.  Goodbye."

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There seem to be about twenty cities, each of which claims to have the most restaurants per capita.  The statistical backing, if any, for these claims should be considered spotty or suspicious.  In any event, many city restaurants rely on travelers, commuters, and other non-residents to fill otherwise empty places in the dining area.  Take away its adjacent highway and the prospects for any Waffle House would be quite dismal!

Another way to look at restaurant numbers is by density.  How many restaurants are in a given geographical area?  For example, the Springfield-Greene County Library has five locations in Springfield.  Using our subscription database, Reference USA Business, it can be determined that within 1.5 radial miles, our Brentwood branch has 87 restaurants.  On the other hand, the Library Station has only 36 restaurants within that distance.  (The remaining branches:  Park Central, with 70 restaurants; Midtown Carnegie, with 68; and the Library Center with 54.)

When does an area have too many restaurants?  Sheer numbers don't tell the story.  Since each restaurant will usually try to develop its own niche, focus, clientele, following, etc., perhaps the question should be:  how many restaurants of a particular description can an area sustain?  However, the country as whole simply has too many restaurants, say insiders.  An industry consultant predicts that 20,000 restaurants will close in the next three years.  "I think 20,000 is a minimum," he said.  "We probably need more than that.  There are a lot of marginal players out there."  According to Moody's Bottom Rung list of companies prone to default, Arby's, Captain D's (Sagittarius Restaurants), Krispy Kreme, Outback (OSI Restaurant Partners), Perkins, and Sbarro may be among the casualties.  More typical, perhaps, will be the demise of smaller fry such as City Lobster & Steak; eleven years in operation; it specialized in business lunches, but was done in by half a million dollars in debt owed to more than fifty creditors and the relegation of the expense-account lunch to the endangered species list

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Last week's entry looked at the "reanimation" of dead or dormant brands, certainly an interesting and reminiscent aspect of marketing.  Some brands, however, only seem to have gone away.

In the late Eighties the Campbell 66 trucking line, a long-standing local presence, disappeared in a spectacularly messy and highly publicized debacle.  The sprawling terminal area on East Chestnut sat empty for some time; the structures were torn down and the property redeveloped several years ago.  For those new to the area, too young to remember, or who want to take a trip down memory lane, check out this web site.

Other than seeing a delapidated trailer sitting in a field every now and then, all trace of the company seems to be gone.  Yet the company (at least some version of it) still exists!  The trademark is still protected as well.

Whether we're likely to actually see Snortin' Norton rolling along the interstate and Humpin' to Please anytime soon is an open question, but his wacked-out expression will grace collectibles for years to come.

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Brim coffee.  Underalls.  Coleco toys and games.  Over-the-counter Nuprin.  Rival pet food.  The only thing they have in common is that they were well-known--and are still remembered--brands.  All went totally or nearly off the market and all of them have returned or are in the process of returning, due to River West Brands.

The jury's still out on which dead, dormant, or dying brands (known in the trade as orphans, ghosts, or zombies) can undergo "brand reanimation."  The key may be consumer memory.  There may a core of nostalgic consumers who would buy the product again--maybe not just as it was, but sort of the way it used to be.  The reanimation of the VW Beetle is the shining example of the concept.  White Cloud toilet paper is right up there also; this is now a Wal-Mart exclusive brand.  Proctor & Gamble let the White Cloud trademarks expire, since they had Charmin; now P&G's Charmin competes in the largest retailer against a brand that P&G itself developed and nurtured!

Research has uncovered an fascinating trait of consumer memory, however.  Consumers are quite capable of remembering brand aspects that never existed!  Shown a bogus Disney World ad, about 16% of test subjects "remembered" that, as children, they shook hands with Bugs Bunny at a Disney theme park.  A substantial number of these specifically recalled Bugs saying, "What's up, Doc?" If you know your cartoon characters, you've already noted the insurmounatable memory problem:   Bugs is not now and never has been a Disney character, so the "memories" have no basis in reality.

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Last week this blog analyzed recently released Census Bureau data for growth patterns in this area.  Metropolitan areas in the rest of Missouri will be examined this week.  While many people are rather vague about what constitutes a metropolitan area, the federal Office of Management and Budget establishes uniformity by defining whether a city is a metro, as well as specifying that metro's constituent counties.  Metros aren't restricted by state boundaries; of Missouri's eight metropolitan areas, four have counties in another state.  Up to this point, Missouri's metros have constituted 73% of the state's population, 79% of the state's jobs, and 84% of the state's gross domestic product.

State metro growth has been a mixed bag.  On the one hand, Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers is both an Arkansas (three counties) and Missouri (McDonald County) metro; 2000- 2008 growth there has been a robust 27.9%, with virtually all of the growth taking place in the Arkansas counties.  The four-county Jefferson City metro, on the other hand, has seen a miniscule 4.5% growth.  The two-county Columbia metro has grown 12.8% between 2000 and 2008.  Our Joplin neighbors' two-county metro has grown 9.9%.  Often overlooked, St. Joseph is both a Kansas (one county)  and Missouri (three counties) metro with 3.3% growth, held back by the 6.4% negative growth of Doniphan, the Kansas county.

Now for the big guys.  The St. Louis metro is made up of eight Illinois counties and eight Missouri counties; 2000-2008 growth was 4.4%.  The Kansas City metro has six Kansas counties and nine Missouri counties, ranging in size from Linn (KS; under 10,000) to Jackson (MO; more than 668,000); growth in this metro has been 9.0%.

Viewed in this context, the Springfield metro's 15.7% growth is reasonably impressive.

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Recently, detailed Census population estimates were released for Missouri counties.  It is important to note that these are estimates; the 2010 decennial census will have an actual count.  The new figures allow an estimation of growth between 2000 and 2008.  (It is pleasant to note that this yearly statistical release happened about three months earlier than usual!)

The results for the Springfield metro show an 11.0% population increase for Greene; 39.0% for Christian; 7.8% for Dallas; 12.6% for Polk; and 17.5% for Webster.  The population increase for the five-county metro as a whole was 15.7%.  Greene County's growth, steady but not spectacular, allowed it to increase its share of the metro from 53.2% (2000) to 59.6% (2008).

The two-county Branson micropolitan area's population increase over the same period was 14.9%  Stone County's increase was 10.1%, while Taney County's increase was 18.4%.  Taney County's share of the micropolitan area remained relatively unchanged at 59.9% (compared to 58.1% in 2000).

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As Springfield has grown in recent decades, more chain restaurants have appeared (and, in some cases, disappeared).  When we had fewer chains, the pluses and minuses of the chains and their relationship with the independents were more rhetorical than has come to be the case presently.  But now it possible for our mid-major metro to join the spirited national discussion.

So what percentage of the chains is presently represented in the Springfield metro (Christian, Dallas, Greene, Polk, and Webster counties)?  Wikipedia has a list of about 240; roughly a quarter of those chains are found in the Springfield metro, with a few more found relatively nearby.  (Famous Dave's and Joe's Crab Shack in Branson, e.g.)  Restaurants & Institutions, a trade journal, publishes a ranked Top 400 list.  (Contact us at The Library to use our subscription databases to access this list.)  The Springfield metro has thirteen of the top fifteen ranked chains; Dunkin' Donuts (found in Branson) and Jack in the Box are the exceptions.  We have 26 of the top thirty--the recently-departed Denny's is one of the missing.  After the top thirty, there begins to be rapid dropoff, including highly ranked chains such as Popeyes, Baskin-Robbins, Church's, and the long-ago and fondly remembered Whataburger that have been here at one time or another.  Of the top 100, 45 currently don't have a Springfield metro presence.

Industry sources identify about 3,600 restaurant chains, although many of these have just a few locations.  Lambert's Cafe would be a good example; they have two Missouri locations, as well as a location in Alabama.

Consumers are a quirky and paradoxical lot.  While many diners are inclined to be dismissive of chain restaurant food, asserting that independent restaurants have better food, data show that this perception isn't reflected by their purchases--i.e., visits and (ultimately) dollars spent. 

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Let me tell you, it's not what you know.
I work hard, but I've reached a plateau.
I've a dozen degrees,
Which astounds the trustees--
Would you like that for here or to go?

In recent months, a vast amount of recession poetry has begun to appear on the Internet.  This post will concentrate on limericks and haiku--I feel that the space and format limitations that these impose give a pithy and succinct immediacy.

NPR's insightful and wide-ranging Planet Money blog recently issued a Haiku Challenge; this slideshow gives a dozen of the best responses.  For instance:  "How much are apples? / Don't recall caring before. / Little things add up."

The New York Times Freakonomics blog got a large and literate response to their "There Once Was a Fund Guy Named Bernie..." limerick challenge.

Let's conclude with the staid and venerable Auntie Beeb.  The BBC's selections, in various forms and lengths, provide an overseas perspective. 

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Somehow the princess industry hadn't appeared on my radar screen until now.  So a book offering to teach me the business "from the front end to the back end" was quite a revelation.

A little research quickly brought out the dominant role played by Disney since 2001 in enthralling 3- to 6-year-old girls with everything princess.  The carefully timed and executed movie releases move every conceivable sort of paraphenalia, expanding in the past couple of years into newborn and toddler items.  Foodstuffs include Campbell's Disney Princess soup and Spaghetti-O's in "seven enchanted princess shapes".  Other companies have seen the light--a Google search for princess themed merchandise yields 83,000 hits.

It seems that there's always been a minority undercurrent of opposition to this phenomenon, led by child psychologists, feminists, and simple-living advocates.  Barbara Ehrenreich, in This Land Is Their Land, devotes the chapter "Bonfire of the Princesses" to exhorting parents to "ban the Princesses from your home."

Then along came Hard Times.  All of a sudden the fabricated, all-about-me princess mentality isn't a good fit with new-found traits of humility and frugality engendered by limited personal, familial, and global resources.  In an ironic twist, some Buffalo, NY teens are turning the concept on its head by forgoing $200+ prom dresses for $40-$60 Disney princess costumes!

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When you include work-at-home businesses, telecommuting, and corporate downsizing, many people are finding themselves in a "home office."  Considerable latitude should be used when defining "home office."  As in upgrading to the dining room table from the previous work station, the family sofa!

The physical outcomes from that latitude, however, are likely to include an impressive list of neurological and orthopedic woes.  Some sensible and relatively inexpensive modifications can boost your productivity and keep you from being counted among the working wounded.  Bubble wrap as a wrist rest, for example.

An often-overlooked aspect is lighting.  Task lighting customizes the amount and positioning of light to your individual needs and activities.

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It is sometimes asserted, in so many words, that because of the enormous number of churches in Greene County, these churches must have (or should have) a heavy socioeconomic impact.  Whether or not this line of reasoning is fundamentally sound to begin with, the assertion is doomed if (in fact) Greene County doesn't have an enormous number of churches.

Using informational tools readily available at or through The Library (we'll be glad to show you where and how) it's readily clear that, given our population size, the number of churches in Greene County is only somewhat larger than the national average.  By Yellow Page count, Greene County has 376 churches or one church for every 710 persons of all ages (including, of course, all those with no church affiliation).  Based on the US average, we would expect to have 317 churches.

Of the six randomly chosen Greene Counties in other states, however, only one had slightly fewer churches per population than Greene County, MO.  The other five had significantly more churches per population.  If the population of each of these counties was equal to ours, here's how many churches they would have:

Greene County, AL - 1,395 churches (one church per 191 people)
Greene County, NC -   658 churches (one church per 405 people)
Greene County, PA -   556 churches (one church per 480 people)
Greene County, VA -   416 churches (one church per 642 people)
Greene County, NY -   403 churches (one church per 662 people)
Greene County, MO -  376 churches (one church per 710 people)
Greene County, OH -   362 churches (one church per 736 people)

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A quarter of a century ago.  Ancient history for some.  Not that long ago for others.

In 1984, 13% of US households has a computer; by autumn of 2007, ownership would be 76%.

Top computer companies by revenue in 1984 were (in order) IBM, Apple, Tandy, and Compaq; in 2008, the top four were Nokia, HP, Dell, and Apple.

In 1984, HP brought out the Laser Jet, the first  low-cost laser printer suitable for office use--priced at $3,500.  In 2009, a highly-rated HP Laser Jet office printer model can be found for $94.

MS-DOS 3.0 appeared in August, '84; version 3.1 came out in November.  MS-DOS had eight major versions released before Microsoft discontinued development in 2000; today it has become increasngly irrelevant and has effectively ceased to exist as a platform for desktop computing.

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"In our society today it has become almost impossible to distinguish between luxuries and necessities."

Much is being made of a Pew Survey on the quickly changing perception of what constitutes a luxury.  The quote above, however, was uttered by Wilbur Mills in 1965.  (Those of a certain age undoubtedly will remember the spectacularly inappropriate shenanigans of Mills and Fanne Foxe ("the Argentine Firecracker") in 1974, leading to Mills' swift political demise.)

In '65 Congressman Mills was the floor manager of a bill to repeal luxury taxes.  This bill illustrates the flexible and mutable understanding of what constitutes a luxury.  Among the taxes to be repealed in 1965 were those on musical instruments, mechanical pencils, lighters, and playing cards.  The "luxury tax" on beer remains to the present day!

So today's economic downturn forces us to revisit the necessity/luxury conundrum.  This cartoon from 1921 shows the ungoing perceptual nature of this question.

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Each of the two teams has 6 to 10 players.  A team scores points by passing a vollyball to one of its players in the end zone--and carefully managing debt and savings to gain sufficient advantage over its opponents.

Budgetball is designed to help students learn about debt, savings, interest, and taxes.  During National Financial Literacy Month, the appearance of this new sport takes students out of the classroom and onto the field for a compressed, real-time, physical experience in the same concepts involved in personal finance and the federal budget.

Sound like gym class for nerds?  Visit the Budgetball website for graphics and the relationship that debt or surplus has to a team's final score.

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In the past couple of years, Time and the National Opinion Research Center have done job satisfaction surveys.  Not just with jobs in general, but satisfaction with particular occupations.

These surveys were done before the economy went south, resulting in mass layoffs, hiring cutbacks, and rising job-security tensions.  One wonders whether survey respondents--at least those who are still employed--would see their jobs in a new light today?

(Read or re-read Winter of Our Discontent (John Steinbeck) and vicariously experience Ethan Allen Hawley's dissatisfaction for added insight.)

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Eighty percent of Missouri's electricity is generated by 21 coal-fired power plants.  These plants emit more than 75 million tons of carbon dioxide annually  This emission is the equivalent of the exhaust from 15 million hypothetical average-sized cars.  Of course, this is in addition to the 4.2 million vehicles actually on Missouri roadways!

Presently, Missouri ranks among the five lowest states in retail electricity rates.  Producer costs--typically about $30 per megawatt hour--could double due to proposed federal legislation.

Under the "cap and trade" provisons of the Waxman-Markey proposal, power plants and other CO2 emitting industries would need permits for every emitted ton.  Unused permits could be sold to other companies, but national emissions would have to be reduced by 20% by 2020--and by a whopping 83% by 2050.

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At mid-morning today, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 22.49% for a one-month period--but down 6.52% over six months.  Is there a trend to be found?  And if so, what is it?

Trend lines are one of the fundamental tools used in investment technical analysis.  In fact, technical analysis is totally predicated on the idea that prices trend in some direction or another.

Unfortunately, there's no trend-line industry standard.  People have passionate but disparate ideas about how they should be drawn and interpreted.  This link gives a reasonably simple spin on "the proper way to draw a trend line."

This link examines the concept and its implementation in greater detail, introducing dangling prices, price interference, reistance points, trend line breaks, etc.

Remember that the sites I have noted, although fairly mainstream, certainly don't represent every shade of opinion.  As with many contentious subjects, the Internet tends to be something of a free-for-all about this, so you may want to retreat to the more measured approach taken by The Investor's Guide to Technical Analysis, High-Powered Investing for Dummies, Technical Analysis for Dummies, or some of the other books available at The Library.

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"Most [business] books are a chapter of advice with a whole lot of additional junk thrown in to make it book thickness."  While libraries are inclined to find that assessment extreme, it does point up the need to widen your reading horizon beyond the more obvious business and financial books and publications.

For instance, venture capitalist Michael Moritz (think Google, YouTube, Yahoo, PayPal) tries to read more fiction than nonfiction.  If his approach appeals to you, consider the American Enterprise Institute's "Ten Best" list of business novels.  Or try our catalog using subjects such as Corporations--Fiction, Capitalists and Financiers--Fiction, and Corporate Culture--Fiction.

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The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (a/k/a The Stimulus Money) includes funding for the COPS Hiring Recovery Program (CHRP).  In brief, the CHRP makes available up to $1 billion for the hiring and rehiring of additional career law enforcement officers.

Just in time, perhaps, to forestall (semi-)serious consideration of the "cardboard coppers" being deployed in the UK.  As Dave Barry says, I'm not making this up.  Thirteen police forces in England and Wales have purchased more than $28,000 worth of life-sized police-like cutouts which have been placed at gas stations to deter drive offs, as well as in retail locations to discourage shoplifting.  One likeness in the town of Belper was credited with reducing thefts--until somebody stole it.

While a police spokesperson claimed that "shops love having them, we rotate them around businesses," man-on-the-street comments run along the lines of "They are all mad, I tell you.  Completely raving mad." and "With pubs going under at an alarming rate, I think this is a good idea.  People will have something to throw their redundant darts at again."

Cutouts of this sort can be found on the Internet, ranging from the $31.88 econo model through a $189 premium model (volume discount pricing available) to a $795 fiberglass Figurine Cop Statue.  In an almost certainly fruitless attempt to act responsibly, I have not embedded links to these vendors and will provide URLs only to persons with a vaguely legitimate interest in such things!

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The idea of a Missouri community producing 123% of its residential electrical demand using wind power is far from a futuristic pipe dream.  It's been happening for about a year now, making Rock Port the first US community to be fully powered by the wind.

Wind speed maps make it clear that significant portions of Missouri have little potential for wind energy production.  In fact, only 34 (or 30%) of Missouri's 115 counties have real potential.  Economically strapped northwest Missouri shows the greatest potential, given today's technology.

After reaching 1,000 megawatts (MW) of wind energy capacity in 1985, it took the nation more than a decade to reach the 2,000 MW mark in 1999.  Since then installed capacity has reached 26,274 MW (as of 31 Jan 09).  As new technology comes online, Missouri's late start and presently limited output (163 MW with a capacity potential of 5,960 MW) may be able to be overcome.

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Is there a Bernie Madoff in your life or in your future?

People are inclined to readily believe and trust those who look like them, talk like them, share their interests and activities, worship as they do, and have the same outlook and point of view.  Affinity fraud can occur when somebody who is seemingly a core member of such a group pitches a financial come-on.  A lack of background information or documentation, a strangely high rate of return on investment, a chance to be part of an exclusive circle or clientele, and a need to "get in right now" are often tipoffs that the outcome will be an unhappy one.

While the media give extensive coverage to the financial loss of affinity-fraud victims and deal to some extent with the shock and bewilderment of such victims, they rarely go deeply enough to examine the sense of shame and betrayal that the affinity group as a whole suffers.  In many cases, this perceived perfidy against "one's own" seems to be fully as painful as the monetary loss.  In the Madoff case, for example, mention is being made of the "shanda."  As with very many Yiddish words, there is no real English equivalent for shanda; it can best be expressed as a long-lasting shame or disgrace that deeply stains the perpetrator's entire social and religious community.

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Who should decide executive compensation?  The board of directors?  The shareholders?  The government?  Society?

The general public has developed some pretty strong feelings on the subject in the past few months as investment portfolios fall, layoffs occur, and information on multi-million dollar compensation packages comes to light.  The public may have a short attention span, but companies need to ponder the long-term implications of the pent-up frustration and outrage.

When good times were rolling, it was easier to ignore the fact that an executive was making 344 times the pay of an average employee.  For a minimum-wage employee, make that 866 times as much.  And then there's the hedge or equity fund manager whose $588 million is more than 19,000 times as much as a typical US worker earned!

Could the questions asked in the first paragraph be part of rebooting a "crashed capitalist system" and emerging with a more social and sustainable capitalism?

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"It's our duty to extract as much money from the customer as we can and send them home with a smile on their face."  --Bob Stupak, former owner of Vegas World Casino.

The recent proliferation of casino advertising on local tv certainly abounds with smiling faces.  Not a loser anywhere in sight!  But the American Gaming Association is very upfront about this--"over time the house will come out ahead" and "casino gaming should not be considered a way to make money."  They even publish an eye-opening chart which shows, for every $100 bet, how much the player should expect to lose.  For example, the dollar slots are a "better deal" since the player should expect to lose between $2.50 and $6 per $100 bet, rather than the $7 to $12 the nickel slot player would lose.

So unless you are willing to view the loses as an entertainment expense, you'd better find your smiles elsewhere.

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These are just a few of the business- and career-related titles that have been added to our shelves in the last few weeks:

• The Foreclosure of America, by Adam Michaelson, 2009.  (Inside story of what went on within the walls of Countrywide Home Loans and other mortgage institutions.)
• Gimme My Money Back, by Ali Velshi, 2009.  (How we got into a financial crisis--and concrete, simple steps to get you out of it.)
• Talent Is Overrated, by Geoffrey Colvin, 2008.  (Cutting-edge research and eye-opening  facts that debunk the myth of innate talent.)
• The Tyranny of Dead Ideas, by Matthew Miller, 2009.  ("Your company should take care of you," "The kids will earn more than we do," and other fondly held beliefs that are no longer true.)
• The Wall Street Journal Guide to the End of Wall Street As We Know It, by Dave Kansas, 2009.  (Whether we like it or not, tomorrow won't look like yesterday.)
• OverSuccess, by Jim Rubens, 2009.  (Outlines twenty ways in which individuals and businesses can find recognition and personal achievement without toxic burdens.)
• Fake Work, by Brent Peterson, 2009.  (Hard work is not the same as real work.)
  

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In the February 11th issue of The Outlook, Standard & Poor's looks at their 500 Composite Index since 1928.  The average annual total return of this index did not show a negative return until 2000 (minus 9.1%), although some years are grouped.  The 2001 return was minus 11.9%; the return for a dismal 2002 was minus 22.1%.  How soon we forget.

Return for subsequent years (2003-2007) were positive until 2008 (minus 37%).  The 1928-2008 return was 9.7%.

Weekly issues of The Outlook can be found at The Library Center in the Reference Department.

Is the S&P 500 a better measure of market movement than the Dow Jones Industrial Average?  There may not be an objective answer to that question, but your investment decisions should take into account the advantages and disadvantages of each.

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The southwest Florida counties that had been considering changing their names to Default, Foreclosure, and Subprime are hearing some positive if tentative things from their bankers.

The pace of new foreclosures seems to be slowing and housing prices may be bottoming out.  The median price of houses being sold has shown a modest increase for the first time since December '05.

With the recession as a catalyst, positive financial transformation may already be happening.  Economist Joseph Schumpeter's concept of "creative destruction" seems more operative during a recession.

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The National Retail Federation's annual Valentine's Day Consumer Intentions and Actions survey, though grandiosely named, does add an insight on the current economic situation.  They predict that V-day spending will drop 16.7% this year, a far lesser hit than many investors' portfolios have taken.

Small tokens of affection, creativity, and frugality are likely to be the starting team; extravagance and costly bling will be warming the bench for most of the game.  The way things have been going the past few months, extravagance and costly bling may have trouble even making the team.

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The District of Columbia is much better known for government than for commerce.  But from its earliest days, the federal city's focus and location spurred vibrant economic development.

Since coverage of the Inauguration will be wall to wall, it will be interesting to see if a stunning irony will be noticed.  Namely, the Inaugural Parade for our first President of color will travel the same route once taken by droves of slaves being taken to and from the slave auctions that existed within plain sight of the White House and the Capitol.

Until it was abolished in 1850, the slave trade was a major factor in the DC economy.  Frequent shipments of slaves, chained together in droves of ten or twelve or twenty, were taken to and from nearby slave "pens."  When an appalled tourist inquired how many slaves could legally be kept in a small, dark, damp cellar, the overseer casually replied:  "As many as it will hold."

Asa Adgate, a member of the House of Representatives, recalled:  "During the last session of Congress, as several members were standing in the street near the new capitol, a drove of manacled coloured people was passing by.  When just opposite, one of them elevating his manacles as high as he could reach, commenced singing the favorite national song 'Hail Columbia, happy land.'"

"Hail Columbia," also known as "The President's March," was once considered a national anthem, prior to the adoption of "The Star-Spangled Banner" in 1931.  Of course, the immortalized singer could not have known that the tune of his bitter jest would be played today whenever the Vice-President arrives at a ceremony or enters a formal event.

(And here's another ironic backward glance that the incoming administration provides.)

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For the American Dialect Society, bailout is the word of the year.  The same word makes Lake Superior State University's 2009 List of Banished Words, however.  The full title of the banished-words list is "List of Words to Be Banished from the Queen's English for Mis-use, Over-use and General Uselessness."  CTV (Canada's largest private broadcaster) and the Halifax (Canada) Chronicle Herald sound a robust north-of-the-border Enough! when it comes to bailout, a mighty step forward for North American cultural unity.

Other 2009 banished business words or terms are Wall Street/Main Street (Lake  Superior State and CTV), game changer (Lake Superior State), stimulus package (Chronicle Herald). and tough economic times (CTV).

If you want to design a presentation that is fresh and interesting instead of tired and humdrum, Lynn Thompson's extensive list of overused words and phrases is a must-see.  It will help you avoid the buzzwords from yesteryear's management fads.

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There are certainly plenty of candidates for the 2008 Missed-by-a-Mile Financial Prediction Award, but Standard & Poor's Investment Policy Committee shouldn't have any trouble making the finals.

The May '08 issue of S&P's Trends and Projections lead article:  the "Committee believes that from economic, fundamental, technical, and historical perspectives, the worst of the recent equity price decline is likely over."  Toward the end of the article:  the "Committee is maintaining its year-end 2008 target of 1560."

The Library received this issue on June 11th; the S&P 500 on that date stood at 1335.49.  At time of writing today, the S&P 500 is 874.26.

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The respected philosopher Ludwig Wittgenstein claimed that a coherent philosophical outlook could be put forward in the form of a book of jokes.  (An actual attempt to do this is Plato and a Platypus Walk into a Bar.  If you find the philosophy-via-jokes concept interesting or useful, you might also gravitate toward the same author's Aristotle and an Aardvark Go to Washington, which has a political slant.)

That being said, what are we to make of the barrage of recession-related wit and humor that is hitting the Internet and the media?  Some of it is graphical, but most attempts to find some amusing verbal twist to otherwise catastrophic financial outcomes.  From this point of view, Bernie Madoff and late-night comedy were made for each other.  Restaurants answer the call with "stimulus brownies" and "recession burgers."

I choose to see these as signs of the resiliency and determination that ultimately will bring us to better, brighter days.  During the darkest days of the Civil War, Abe Lincoln was rebuked for his quips and funny stories.  He replied, "I laugh because I must not cry."

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U.S News & World Report has come out with a list of fifteen cutting-edge businesses that have an excellent chance to succeed in todays' gloomy economy.  They've stayed away from fads and flash-in-the-pan ventures.

For entrepreneurs, however, the present economic climate has peril as well as promise.  So U. S. News also details the five most overrated small-biz opportunities.  Are you surprised that contracting and restaurants make the list?  (Springfield, by the way, has roughly one restaurant for every 142 households.)

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"Yes, there have been 1.9 million jobs lost since the start of the recession last year...  But that still leaves 93.3% of us employed.  Close to 10% of homeowners have either missed a house payment or are in foreclosure...  But 90% of us are not in danger of losing our homes.  Yet we are wary."

There's a spreading virus of instability.  Yet Warren Buffett's rule of thumb is to be fearful when others are greedy and to be greedy when others are fearful.  This bucks the tide of the dominant (although shortsighted and irrational) tendency to presume that the economy must continue to walk the immediate path of today and the day before.

Buffett (and others) are well aware of 1975, 1980, 1990, 2003, and 2005.  Despite prevailing doom and gloom resulting from relentlessly poor economic figures, the stock market rebounded 23% (on average) during each following twelve-month period.

Has the worst passed or is it yet to come?  The alert investor, business owner, and consumer will want to focus on facts rather than fears.

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Times are hard for many small businesses.  Times are even harder for small businesses that are just trying to get off the ground.

Suppose there was somewhere that small businesses could go to get free, highly experienced, highly diversified mentoring?  Suppose it was local and readily accessible?  Suppose that it could accomodate quite a range of scheduling issues?

No need to suppose.  The Springfield/Joplin chapter of SCORE (Counserlors to America's Small Business) provides free and confidential business counseling tailored to meet the needs and objectives of most any small business.  Workshops are also offered for a modest fee for both start-up and functioning small businesses.  SCORE's goals are meet through its volunteer membership, made up of real-world present and former business owners and professionals with expertise in accounting, finance, marketing, management, business plan preparation, insurance, and many other areas.

SCORE members donate thousands of hours to help small businesses succeed.  If you have an underperforming small business, a small business that you're ready to take to the next level, or if you're wondering whether a small business could be part of your future, contact the local SCORE chapter.  You've got nothing to lose and much to gain!

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Michael Lewis has been called the funniest serious writer in America.  He casts a wide net, as evidenced by the books Liar's Poker (bond traders in the late 80's), The New New Thing (Silicon Valley), The Real Price of Everything (economic classics), and Moneyball (the economic aspects of baseball), among others.

His latest book (Panic: The Story of Modern Financial Insanity) is scheduled for publication in early December '08.  Beginning with the crash of '87, he looks at the distinctive elements of that and each subsequent financial upheaval.  He also makes some attempt to consolidate what we should have learned from each event into an estimation of root cause.  But, as he sadly jokes:  "Not only does financial history seldom repeat itself, it seldom even rhymes."

An interview with the author and an excerpt from his book can be found on the NPR web site.  And if Black-Scholes sounds to you like the name of a sanitary landfill, visit the site and find out that it's something even less attractive and sweet smelling.

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In 1959, debt made up 58.8% of a typical household's disposable income.  In 2007, the figure jumped to 141.3%.  Mortgage debt (103.3% in 2007) was 37.1% in 1959; consumer credit went from 16.3% ('59) to 25.1% ('07).  Particularly disturbing, when one considers the recent Commerce Department report that consumers' disposable income has suffered its worst recorded decline.

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A glance at the year-to-date percentage change for major international stock indexes is a stark lesson in global economics.  Only Caracas (Venezuela) showed a single-digit YTD loss this afternoon; losses of 30% to 50% were quite common, with RTS (Russia) off an astounding 74.9%.

As of May, Russia had 87 billionaires, second only to the US.  At least half of them probably will lose their billionaire status in '09.  In the past five months, Russia's top 25 high net worth individuals have seen something on the order of $230 billion fly the coop.  A bizarre offshoot of this is that many magnates and oligarchs have taken to spending most of their time on their yachts; whenever they stroll about on shore, will angry crowds of shareholders, pensioners, and unemployed workers show up to pelt them with rotting fish and drive them aboard again?

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Amidst a business credit drought, more small businesses are relying on credit cards for everything from capital investment to putting gas in the delivery van.  Using personal credit cards for these purposes is a bad idea.  But business owners may not realize that even company credit cards are personally guaranteed--late payments on such a card could affect a business owner's personal credit score.  A business credit card also has fewer consumer protections than a personal credit card.

As small-business cards have pretty thoroughly replaced lines of credit, company owners have become painfully aware of revolving balances that grow as interest rates rise and of the fact that lenders are quite capable of raising rates and reducing credit limits--at any time and for any reason.

A more sensible alternative might be a credit union business loan.  Credit unions have not been exposed to the same losses as other financial institutions, enabling them to up their business lending by 36% in the first six months of this year.

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What is normal?  Many Portland Business Journal readers believe the Dow will return to normal by the end of the year and that normal is between 9,000 and 11,000.

Florida is not normal.  Financial meltdown and a high foreclosure rate have turned a comfortably Republican state into an electoral tossup.

Overseas, more than two out of three respondents to a New Zealand business poll believe that the current financial situation is a historical event on a scale similar to the Crash of '29.

Under the category of Extreme Discontent, a new survey shows that 62% of small business owners would cross party lines to vote for the presidential candidate who would do the most to help their business.  Nearly half feel that their business is in jeopardy.

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Even a short time ago, would any sane person be seriously considering the possibility of the complete nationalization of the US banking system?

Quicker than you can say "ted spread," it's become easy enough to find serious consideration of such a scenario.  Is this the sudden appearance of the idea that we'll have capitalism when things go well and socialism when things go poorly?

At this time, you have left the land of Then.  Welcome to the land of Now.  Enjoy your stay.

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• Fewer people are eating at restaurants, with that sector down 4% this year.  Grocery stores, however, are doing well, with the shares of big food companies up about 17%.
• Holiday gift purchases are likely to be cut back; analysts are projecting the weakest buying since the recession of '91.  People will be more likely to substitute "gifts of service" such as baby or dog sitting, car washing, etc.
• Shopping as a Sunday sport is taking a hit.  That ritual is being replaced by time with family and friends.
• Impulse buying and conspicuous consumption are on hold.  At least temporarily, consumers will rediscover thrift and savings.
• Even deep discounts by department stores aren't triggering consumer interest.  On the other hand, Wal-Mart and the discount membership clubs are doing just fine, thank you. 

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• Wall Street:  America's Dream Palace, by Steve Fraser.
  No other American institution has inspired such deep moral, cultural, and political ambivalence.  A bulwark defending commercial order?  Or a center of mad ambition?
• Full of Bull:  Do What Wall Street Does, Not What It Says, to Make Money in the Market, by Stephen T. McClellan.
  The author reveals the Street's secrets and deliberate deceptions, putting you on a level playing field with the world's biggest instituional investors.
• Blue Blood and Mutiny:  The Fight for the Soul of Morgan Stanley, by Patricia Beard.
  The behind-the-scenes story of the "Eight Grumpy Old Men" (former Morgan Stanley execs) who successful work to oust a CEO whose tenure had drastically damaged the company's hallowed reputation.
• Wolf of Wall Street, by Jordan Belfort.
  In the '90s the author became one of the most infamous names in American finance.  This all-too-true story of greed, power, and hedonism will leave you astounded, sickened or (very probably) both.
• Confessions of a Wall Street Shoeshine Boy, by Doug Stumpf.
  In this novel, a nobody brings to light an insider-trading scam that implicates a lot of VIPs.  While entirely fictional, the book captures the feelings that many people entertain about the securities industry today.
• Confessions of a Wall Street Analyst:  A True Story of Inside Information and Corruption in the Stock Market, by Don Reingold.
  The author, a top analyst, believed in Wall Street.  He describes how his enthusiasm gave way to disgust as he gradually discovered how deeply corrupt Wall Street really was.
• Every Man a Speculator:  A History of Wall Street in American Life, by Steve Fraser.
  For more than 200 years, Americans have had a love-hate relationship with Wall Street.  Long an object of suspicion and fear, it eventually came to be seen as a more inviting place, an open road to wealth and freedom.

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• There could be 300 to 400 fewer US auto dealerships by the end of the year.  High gas prices are impacting automotive sales, but tight credit is doing even more damage.  Leases are particularly tough to get approved--and almost impossible if the vehicle is a truck or SUV.  "The banks are all scared to death of them."
• People could be faced with paying their credit card balance.  "You may suddenly find that the credit card company says we want the money back--all of it now."
• Could you wait a couple of weeks for your paycheck?  Many companies finance their day-to-day operations on short-term credit.  "When that dries up, it will affect all of us."
• Minimum credit scores for home loans have shot up from about 680 to 740.
• "We certainly could see tight credit having an effect on agricultural production."  --Ed Schafer, US Agriculture Secretary
• A giant college lender is cutting back to make sure it has enough money to keep lending to students.  Other lenders have begun rejecting loan applications they formerly would have approved.

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The US House of Representatives is adjourned for the Jewish High Holiday of Rosh Hashanah and is not scheduled to be in session until Thursday at noon.  In an ordinary year, little attention would be paid to this fact.  As you've probably noticed, this is not an ordinary year.

After yesterday's stock market debacle, investors seem to be concluding that the interim will give House members a chance to cherrypick the defeated bailout proposal, keeping the least objectionble aspects, ditching the most objectionable aspects, and crafting their own credit market fix.

In the whirl of events, it's important to distinguish between the stock market (which investors and the general media sorta understand) and the credit market (which until recently attracted little attention from the general public and still is seen as a turbulent sea of esoteric question marks).

For instance, as of late morning today the stock market is behaving in a fairly jublilant fashion, posting a rebound of several percentage points.  The credit market, however, is quite distressed.  The benchmark overnight LIBOR (a percentage rate that many banks use in lending money to each other) jumped to 6.875% from just over 2.5%.  This is the largest increase ever seen.

Without a Congressional fix, it is seeming less and less likely that the credit market and its implications for businesses large and small can get unstuck.  For today, however, we can watch the stock market and the best way to do so is to watch the Wilshire 5000, which is more broadly based and in unsettled times is more likely to reflect the market as a whole than the Dow Jones Industrials.  With any index, the percentage change is far more important than the point change.  It is well to bear in mind, however, that every Wilshire 5000 point change involves about a billion dollars in market capitalization.  So yesterday's freefall took over $800 billion out of stocks--more than $100 billion more than the bailout package that Congress and its constituents couldn't swallow.  Other estimates go as high as $1.2 trillion.  Investment and retirement portfolios, of course, take the bottom-line hit.

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The federal government's definition of poverty dates back more than 45 years.  Reflecting the limited statistical data of that time, it was built on government nutritional criteria.  A game first effort, it's been indexed for inflation but has never evolved.

Given the human and societal costs of poverty, we need a better measure than we currently have to identify who needs assistance and what kind of assistance.  The National Academy of Sciences, for instance, has a proposed approach.  The NAS approach would posit far more poor persons than "official" measurements.

Another subjective approach to an objective goal is the Self-Sufficiency Standard.  Unlike the federal standard, this guideline accounts for the costs of living and working as they vary by family size and composition and by geographic location.  A possible drawback is that the Standard assumes that all adults (whether single or married) work full-time.  Self-Suffiency Standards have been developed for a number of states, including Missouri.

So while nobody's too happy about where we are, there's not a lot of movement and consensus about where we should be in terms of quantifying this important issue.

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• Travel by train consumes 18% less energy per passenger mile than flying and 17% less than driving.
• The Amtrak train from Winona, MN has become a cheaper option than driving or flying for college students heading home to Chicago.
• The Amtrak run from Chicago to San Antonio (making stops in Poplar Bluff, St. Louis, and Little Rock) had 27% more passengers in May and 19% more in June, based in large part on higher gasoline prices.
• Amtrak and the various local and regional rail services are using all the servicable passenger cars they have at this time.

Are we ready for a passenger rail revival?  Ponder these top ten reasons to travel by train and decide for yourself.

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Nearly 20% of Americans now worry that they will never be able to stop working.  Rather than the baby boomer retirement tsunami so recently expected, a trend is developing that has people delaying their retirement.  On average, many federal employees already work for another four years after they become eligible for retirement.

This trend is likely to have negative consequences for already beleaguered financial institutions, many of which have invested tidy sums in building retirement services components.  Sharing the gloom will be retirement community developers, leisure and travel service providers, RV and golf equipment manufacturers, etc.  On the other hand, Social Security and (to some extent) Medicare should see slower-than-anticipated draw-down.

Financial think-tanks are now emphasizing that even one extra year of work can raise your standard of living throughout your retirement and that, while it may not be a good thing emotionally, delaying retirement is always a good thing financially.  Given today's poor market performance, meager investment returns during the first five years of retirement can significantly raise the chance that you'll outlive your money.  And if a single market downturn is highly disruptive to your retirement plans, then you probably weren't financially ready to retire in the first place.

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Under the guidance of T(homas) Boone Pickens, Mesa Petroleum established itself as one of the world's largest independent oil companies between 1973 and 1981.  It was Pickens' repeated attempts to take over companies much larger than his own that led to his and Mesa's greatest fame, however.  In the spring of '82, for instance, he made a play (ultimately unsuccessful but highly profitable) to take over Cities Service, an old-line company more than twenty times the size of Mesa.  (In a remarkable series of transitions, Cities Service became CITGO, was sold to the Southland [7-Eleven] Corporation, and ended up as a government-owned company of Venezuelan dictator Hugo Chavez!)

Fast forward to 2008.  The post-Mesa Pickens, today a hedge-fund billionaire ranked 368th among the world's richest, has unveiled a national energy plan designed to cut US dependence on foreign oil.  While Pickens claims that he's too old and rich to care much about reaping a windfall from this plan, it should be noted that the plan is built around wind energy and natural gas, both areas of heavy Pickens investment.  Still, his ideas have a great deal more practical substance than anything that has emanated or is likely to emanate from Washington any time soon.

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Sheik Ahmed Zaki Yamani, former Saudi Arabian oil minister and head of London's Center for Global Energy Studies for eighteen years has a thought-provoking outlook on who's responsible for soaring oil prices--producers or speculators.

Sheik Yamani is likely to live on in quotation dictionaries for the 2001 statement:  "The Stone Age came to an end, not because we had a lack of stones, and the oil age will come to an end not because we have a lack of oil."

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Back in 2006, the Midas muffler (etc.) people conducted a nationwide search for "America's Longest Commute."  The winner made a 186-mile drive--each way--five days a week to his job in San Jose, CA.

At today's gas prices (averaging $4.51 for regular in the San Jose area), that one-way trip would cost $41.94 in gas alone in a vehicle averaging twenty miles per gallon.  So a week's commuting would come in at about $420.

No word as to whether the lucky winner ("I have a great job and my family loves the ranch where we live.") is still making this trek.  Just a guess, but I doubt that Midas will be reprising this promotion any time soon.

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Could international debt cancellation help end global poverty?  From 1970-2002, Africa received some $540 billion in loans and paid back $550 billion in prinicipal and interest--with $295 billion yet to be paid!

The situation is complicated by a perfect storm of food scarcity, global warming, skyrocketing petroleum prices, and population explosion.  And further complicated by the inclement weather that is devastating normally abundant First World food crops.  The World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates predict that the US corn stockpile will be cut in half (to a three-week supply) by the time the next crop is ready to harvest.  The soybean stockpile will shrink to a two-week supply before this fall's harvest.  More than 73 million people in 78 countries that depend on UN World Food Programme distributions are facing reduced rations this year.

Africa pays more in debt service than it receives in foreign aid, new loans, and assistance.  "Every child in Africa is born with a financial burden which a lifetime's work cannot repay."  --All Africa Council of Churches

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A loaf of bread costs over 200 million dollars. Before you dismiss this post as the product of a disordered mind, that was the actual price, in Zimbabwe dollars, as of May 15th. The price is higher today, since the inflation rate there rises on an hourly basis.

To deal with this, Zimbabwe's banknotes come in no lower denomination than $200,000. The largest denomination is 50 billion dollars. Coins? Don't even think about 'em.

At the moment, the Zimbabwe dollar can be exchanged for the US dollar on the basis of a billion to one.

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You are buying barrels of apples.  In each barrel are a certain number of bad apples that should be removed by the seller before delivery.  Would you agree to a deal in which only 2.5% of the apples per barrel were removed, regardless of the true number of bad apples?

According to a recent report, some investment banks agreed to reject only 2.5% of the loans one of the biggest subprime lenders sent the banks to package and sell to investors.

A quality control auditor who reviewed subprime loans says that 75% of the time "kicks" or kick-outs (loans so risky that they should have been rejected) ended up back in the investment pool and were sold.  "Passing the trash," as this is known, allowed the investment banks to make as much as a 40% return on equity every two months by peddling the resulting securitizations.

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Most articles about using social networking are radiantly positive.  (This is a representative sample.)

On the other hand, here are ten reasons not to bother with social networking.  To summarize its author's point of view:  "In the end, your activity level will be high and your results level will be low--or zero...  You'll love the contacts it seems you are building, but see how many of them lead to any business or profit.  The most communicative will be the least productive.  The early days of the Internet proved that you can accumlate a lot of clicks and no profits."

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We know that our banana peels and bread wrappers go to the landfill.  We know (hopefully) that our recyclable cans, bottles, newspapers, etc. go to appropriate facilities.  But how about our computers?  Our ships?  The byproducts and residue from making the stuff we use?  What we often don't know (and maybe don't really want to know) is that these things often end up in Third World countries.

Since 2000, it's been illegal to import electronic waste into China.  But tons of debris are smuggled in with legitimate imports, corruption is common among local officials, and China's appetite for scrap is enormous.  Appalling processing practices have left some water supplies undrinkable since the mid-'90s.

Garbage Cowboys, unscrupulous traders who transfer poisonous cargos from other vessels and "fly-tip" them in developing countries, have used the chaos in Somalia as a smokescreen behind which to make deals with local warlords to let them dump toxic wastes there.

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"A sea-change into something rich and strange."  In 1610 Shakespeare thus used the term "sea change" to describe a radical, fundamental transformation in a setting or situation.

(Not unakin to what happened to the American nutritional landscape in the early Nineties in Snook, TX when Frank Sodolak invented chicken-fried bacon.  Calories per serving:  493.  Total fat per serving:  40.6g.  But I digress.)

Sometimes a sea change can happen with very little fanfare.  Book publisher HarperCollins' recent announcement that its listings of upcoming releases will be available only online has made the back pages of most newspapers, if it was noted at all.  For booksellers and libraries, however, this may be a wrenching emotional transition.  The paper catalogs (usually mailed several times a year since the dawn of publishing) have had an almost iconic status and their methodical appearance has somehow validated an ongoing, ordered, and civilized existence.  Hapercollins (as well as other major publishers with similar plans is well aware of the impact and promises a gentle transition.

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It was once taken for granted that all swans were invariably, uniformly, unfailingly white.  When Europeans "discovered" Australia, however, they also discovered black swans.  Today the term "black swan" is used for an event that blasts apart the boundaries of received knowledge and rational expectation.

Kevin Phillips, who has made the circuitous journey from Reagan strategist to economic populist, challenges us to discern the black swan on the economic horizon.  In "Bad Money" (scheduled for 4/15 publication), Phillips suggests that the financial services sector, responsible for some 40% of economic growth and employment during the Bush presidency, as presently constituted is a WMD that ultimately will demolish not only itself but the fundamental economic parameters to which we are accustomed. The new economic America that will reluctantly emerge is likely to have vastly different expectations and structure.

(Have you come across the term "neutron loan" in the financial press?  Like a neutron bomb, a neutron loan destroys the people and leaves the houses standing.)

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Increasingly, renters nationwide are getting caught up in the foreclosure shuffle.  Rental properties, often purchased by speculators during the boom, now comprise 38% of foreclosures.  And "in most states, foreclosure itself automatically terminates a tenancy," says housing attorney Judith Liben.  In many cases, renters are also losing their security and pet deposits and other upfront expenses.

In Ohio, for instance, "the basic rule is ... if a home is foreclosed on, the lease is no longer good," says Scott Torguson of Southeast Ohio Legal Services.  "When they have to be out depends on the bank."

Most banks haven't the slightest desire to become landlords and require renters to vacate with a few weeks' notice.  A best-case scenario is a "cash for keys" incentive program that pays the renter off to move out quickly.  For many renters, however, the upshot is a notice from the bank that the rent is now some outrageous amount, a thinly-veiled invitation to leave with great alacrity.

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Milk prices up 26%.  Eggs up 40%!  After nearly two decades of inflation-resistant food prices, consumers are approaching the check-out counter with fear and trepidation.

The Kansas City Fed says that "today's momentum in food prices may be signaling a new erea of even higher food prices."  While they expect food price inflation to ease in '08, they see an increase well above the ten-year average of 2.6%.  The strongest price pressures are likely to come from fats and oils, cereal, and bakery products.

Likely to do well in this economic environment:  house/store/off/generic brands and private labels.  Susceptible to buyer flight:  organic/"whole"/"natural" foods.

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Business reference staff Mike DePue and Eric Deatherage offer two resources to help former Willow Brook employees find jobs that match their skills and experience:

ReferenceUSA* provides address, phone, and personnel information for more than 800 poultry slaughter and processing businesses in the U.S. Use the yellow page heading "Poultry Processing Plants". For a wider food industry approach, use "Food Processing" to access information on 3,200 facilities.

The web site Careers in Food allows users to search more than 5,000 current food and beverage manufacturing job listings.

For job search resources in other industries, take a look at the Minding Your Business Company Research page and the Library's InfoLink Employment page.

For more information about using any of these resources, contact the Library online or call 417-883-5341.

*A valid library card is required to use this database. Don't have a card? Apply online.

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Once normalcy returns, what will the financial sector look like and how will it behave?  Suggestions are beginning to emerge that the future will look far different than the past.

"We are going to have to create whole new ways of securitizing and funding debt of all types, but especially mortgages and consumer credit.  ...It is going to take time to replace a system that took decades to build," writes Bethany McLean of CNNMoney.  Profits in the financial sector had increased far beyond historic levels; if earnings return to sustainable levels, the subsequent shakeout is likely to have fundamental ramifications.

The advent of securitization led to a mindset among frontline lending officers that the money they were lending, since its underlying collateral was ending up in some distantly-removed asset pool, would allow the good loans that somebody must be making to carry the questionable loans that they themselves were making. As has become grimly obvious, however, that mindset only has any degree of validity in an up-market.

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The Elgin (IL) public library district hopes to break ground on a new facility this spring. It is to include a geothermal heating and cooling system expected to provide annual energy savings of $3,660.

Decades after geothermal technology has been established as a proven energy saver, less than 1% of US homes have such systems. Up to this point, installation of a geothermal system could cost twice as much as a new conventional gas or electric system.

Is there a future for geothermal? Its production and usage seem to involve no environmental degradation, something its competitors certainly can't claim. And what about geothermal electricity production?

Geothermal stocks are a mixed bag of Johnny-come-lately penny stocks and stocks with a respectable capitalization and track record. Among those showing stock-price growth over five years: Constellation Energry Group [CEG] (+223.8%); IdaCorp [IDA] (+48.52%); PG & E [PCG] (+185.23%); Raser Technologies [RZ] (+357.84%).

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During the years 1984-2004, a portfolio of clever ticker-symbol stocks (SEA, TAP, YUM, for example) would have beaten the market by a substantial and statistically significant margin.  "Would a Stock by Any Other Ticker Smell As Sweet?" describes this in exhaustive--and even exhausting--detail.  This 22-page paper was produced by three Pomono College economists.

In today's turbulent investment waters, however, results are mixed.  While LENS (Concord Camera) showed a recent six-month gain of 40.51% and BOOM (Dynamic Materials) was up an equivalent 34.91%, CASH (Meta Financial Group) declined 29.82%  and CAR (Avis Budget Group) dropped a whopping 51.27%.

Other entertaining (but not necessarily lucrative) symbols that might not have crossed your path:  MOO (Market Vectors, a livestock company); WOOF (VCA Antech, veterinary services); GEEK (Internet America); BABY (Natus Medical, medical products for infants); SEED (Origin Agritech Limited); UGLYX (Leuthold Undervalued and Unloved, a mutual fund specializing in undervalued companies); TINY (Harris & Harris Group, venture capital for tiny technology); DIET (eDiets.com); NUT (Macadamia Orchards); CHUX (O'Charleys restaurants); BID (Sotheby's); FUN (Cedar Fair, amusement parks); WOLF (Great Wolf Resorts); CAKE ( Cheesecake Factory).

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The S&P 500 contains 87 stocks that can be characterized as consumer discretionary investments. Clearly, the products and services offered by some of these companies are more discretionary than others.  I've subjectively picked a few of the companies that seem to me to be providing products or services that consumers could or would most easily dispense with (however reluctantly) in an economic downturn.  Their six-month stock price change percentage are listed below.

Starbucks (-33.73%). Fortune Brands [hardware, spirit & wine, golf products] (-21.97%). Harman Intl. Industries [audio products] (-63.13%).  Liz Claiborne (-47.76%).  Brunswick Corp. [sporting goods and services] (-35.51%). Carnival Corp. [cruise lines] (-7.25%).  Starwood Hotels & Resorts (-17.27%). Macy's (-20.91%). Expedia (-14.41%). Family Dollar Stores (-27.52%). Tiffany & Co. (-18.03%).

The six-month S&P 500 (as a whole) percentage change was -7.58%.

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Admittedly, this is a shameless plug for our Local History department and their informational and interesting digitized collections.  But it's also a remarkable backward glance at some of the foundational aspects of Springfield business history.

The past can still be seen in the Woodruff Building, the Heer's Building, the Kentwood Arms Hotel (now Missouri State University's Kentwood Hall, a residence facility), and Martin Chrysler-Plymouth (currently the Discovery Center).

In other cases, these postcards are all that remain of once vibrant businesses.  While Hultsman Oil Company, Eagle Tourist Court, the Baldwin Theatre, and the original Lohmeyer Funeral Home location (which was razed in '87 to become a Kentwood Hall parking lot) are long gone, they have left their mark, however subtle, on today's business scene.

For many possibilities that we haven't pointed out, visit the Historical Postcards site.

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In many respects, we still have the same mindset about business travel that is characterized by Willy Loman in the 1949 play Death of a Salesman. In fact, it hasn't changed that much since the stagecoach was the best way to get from here to there and telegraphy was considered cutting-edge technology.

While we await the definitive pychosocial study as to why we continue to hold fast to such a clunky way of getting things done, consider the bare-bones regime that many companies are imposing on their biz travelers.

Business Week has a top-notch web site titled Travelers Check. Two of their recent offerings: A Wily Road Warrior's Airport Tips and a call for entrants for the first annual Del Griffith Award for Business Travel, which went to the lucky(?) reader who submitted the most bizarre/painful biz-travel experience.  (Del Griffith--his title is Director of Sales, American Light and Fixture, Shower Curtain Ring Division--is the John Candy character in Planes, Trains and Automobiles.)

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We're just getting our heads around "collateralized debt obligations" (CDOs).  That's not to say that most of us understand their innermost workings, but we know that they're connected with subprime mortgages and that the connection isn't working out that well.

The latest exports from the Financial Chamber of Horrors are "credit default swaps" (purchased to hedge against CDO losses) and "constant proportion debt obligations" (which package indexes of credit default swaps).  The bottom-line number on these little beauties is $45.5 trillion, or about twice the size of the US stock market.

Since the market for the above-mentioned securities is unregulated (think financial Wild West here), the health of said market is difficult to gauge.  However, it is believed that the market value of the underlying contracts outstanding far exceeds the $5.7 trillion in corporate bonds for which they were designed as default protection.  The Feb. 17th New York Times front-page article by Gretchen Morgenson makes this relatively understandable; the paper edition is available at the Library Station or the Library Center, while the online edition is available to Springfield-Greene County Library cardholders.

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A "Valentine's Day Consumer Intentions and Actions Survey" is clearly something to be taken seriously.  However, it's just the tip of the informational iceberg when it comes to research into the economic aspects of Valentine's Day, the third largest spending season in the US.

If you want to be informationally immersed, look over the whole detailed survey, current and retrospective.

However, it's just possible that you'll find that more than a little daunting, so here's a lighter-weight option that will tell you (among other things) that 3% of pet owners give a V-Day gift to their pet.  Suburban Chicago's Daily Herald, looking for a new slant, picks up on an organic Valentine's Day trend in Schaumburg, IL.

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Al makes $50,000 per year while others are making $25,000 per year.  Tom makes $100,000 per year while others are making $250,000 per year.  Would you rather be Al or Tom?

Cindy is told that, as a store's 100,000th customer, she wins $100.  As a contest finalist, a man wins $1,000; Paula, the only other finalist, wins $150.  Would you rather be Cindy or Paula?

You are given $100 to split between yourself and your game partner.  If your partner accepts the proposed split, you each get to keep your share.  If your partner rejects the proposed split, neither of you gets any of the money.  How much should you offer?

See how the majority of people would answer these questions at Why People Believe Weird Things About Money.

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Samuelson is referring to the economic stimulus recipe that Congress and the Prez are whipping up for an election-year citizenry.  In his opinion, the package is either political symbolism and/or not likely to have much effect on a $14 trillion economy.

Part of the package will involve accelerated capital investment depreciation for businesses.  Chris House, co-author of a study of an earlier tax break, opines:  "It's like subsidizing bananas in the supermarket and then looking to see if total supermarket sales changed."  He believes that such measures offer slight benefit.

Syndicated columnist Marie Cocco notes that in every recession since 1958, Congress has enacted a temporary extension of unemployment benefits and that this has proven to be a surefire way of getting money to people who will spend it immediately.  So why is this now "extraneous spending" and out of the present package?

See the San Francisco Chronicle and the Gotham Gazette for understandable background.

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"Almost all business cards are terrible.  They are the leisure suits of the marketing world, the place where bad design not just lives, but thrives."

Thus saith Seth Godin, author, entrepreneur, and change agent.  Godin has a checklist of common business-card blunders, including the relationship between font size and cheesiness.  A good guideline is to use a font size no smaller than 7 or 8 point.

How would you react to a business card that sprouts vegetation?  Or a card with a quote from Oprah?  Or a superhero name (left over perhaps from a previous career in the World Wrestling Federation)?  Creativity and good taste can coexist!

And, please, don't use your predecessor's card with his/her name lined out and your name scrawled in!

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A) Have you given any thought to your 401(k) fees?
B) Do you even realize that you pay such fees?  (It seems that most people don't grasp this.)
C) Would you be astounded to find out that you may be paying 3% - 5% per year?

These expenses have a huge impact on how much money your 401(k) investment will eventually be worth.  Over thirty years, an extra 1% in fees can devour 20% of an individual's nest egg!

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Fair or foul, business/economic/financial 2007 has been a wild and interesting ride.  Fortune magazine has entered the election fray by nominating and electing the 101 dumbest moments in business for the past year.

Don't miss #7.  You'll never think of Toto as an adorable little dog again.

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Holiday cheer in the Springfield-area small business community has taken a big hit, due to the death on Sunday, Dec. 16th, of Cliff Groover.  Cliff's diligent and resourceful work for the local chapter of SCORE (Counselors to America's Small Business) helped many beginning and established entrepreneurs to realize their goals and aspirations.  Always an enthusiastic proponent of The Library and its services, Cliff had formerly served on its Board of Trustees.

His obituary gives only a hint of the selfless impact that Cliff had in quite a number of areas of the community over many years.  His unfailing friendliness to all, cooperative approach, and infectious optimism will be greatly missed by all who had the good fortune to come into contact with him.

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At this time of year, the stock market is anticipating a Santa Claus Rally.  This much-debated effect, to the degree that it actually exists, is supposed to propel the market higher in the last days of the year.

"If Santa Claus should fail to call, bears will come to Broad and Wall."

However, Santa's Stock Portfolio(TM) is looking rather holly jolly.  Beginning in 2002, Amegy Bank of Texas have tracked a list of Santa's "personal" stock picks.  Given his line of work, Santa zeroes in on the consumer discretionary and personal technology sectors.  Through December 13th, his 2007 portfolio is headed north (North Pole?) to the tune of 28%.  If you'd had Santa for your financial adviser, you'd have a five-year average return of 34%!

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Protecting people on the job benefits our economy, our communities, employers, workers and their families.

When small businesses tap into the Occupational Safety and Health Administration’s many resources, incidents of injury and illness go down, insurance costs go down and workers' compensation payments go down. At the same time, employee morale goes up, productivity goes up, competitiveness goes up and profits go up.

One of OSHA’s most popular publications is the Small Business Handbook. This link lets you look at it online or order a paper copy; look for publication 2209.

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The front page of the October 31st issue of The Outlook, published by Standard & Poor's and found in the Reference area at the Library Center on South Campbell, has a chart integrating the occurence of recessions and housing slumps.  The accompanying Outlook article discusses this.

While S&P pegs the liklihood of a recession at 33%, Alan Greenspan and others see the odds as 50-50 or better.

Even the White House, a very reliable purveyor of sunny optimism, isn't sounding all that perky.

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Library staff member Eric Deatherage provided the following annotated Web site suggestions for persons with poor credit who are in search of fiixed-rate mortgages:

http://www.homeloans.va.gov/
VA home loan.  Not credit score driven.  Driven by credit history rather than credit score.  Certificate of eligibility required; the site explains how to get this certificate.  Zero down.  Debt to income ratio must be between 30 and 40%.

http://www.fha.gov/owner/loans.cfm#1
FHA home loan.  Fixed rate product.  Requires 3% down, but there are local donation programs that will cover that amount.  43% debt to income, including home, needed.

http://www.freddiemac.com/homepossible
Freddie Mac program.  Zero down.

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Library staff member Eric Deatherage suggests the following informational possibilities:

A refinancing program called an FHA Streamline can lower the rate of the owner in an FHA home loan without any closing cost (in cash or added onto the principle of the loan). 

The FHASecure program is designed to give a second chance to people who were previously in good standing but are now facing foreclosure.  It provides service for non-FHA ARM loans that have reset.

There is substantive Federal Housing Administration advice for people facing foreclosure.

Here's what it takes to obtain an FHA secured loan on a manufactured home.

There's also a VA Interest rate reduction program; lenders can lower VA home loan interest rates without closing costs.

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There are plenty of excellent books on how to create and promote your brand or even yourself as a brand. But knowing what NOT to do is an equally important of your strategy. Find tips and resources in the latest Minding Your Business newsletter.

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Your Money and Your Brain, a new book by Jason Zweig at The Library, explains why “the brain is not an optimal tool for making investment decisions” for most folks.

Read all about the science behind this in the October 2^nd issue of The Prudent Speculator, found in the Reference area at the Library Center on South Campbell.

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Left untreated, clinical depression is as costly as heart disease or AIDS to the US economy, costing over $43.7 billion in absenteeism from work (over 200 million days lost from work each year), lost productivity and direct treatment costs.

NAMI SW Missouri, a recent Expo 2007 exhibitor, and Mental Health America provide a solid overview of depression in the workplace.

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Library research indicates that consumer indebtedness and easy credit are no longer just an American phenomenon. Foreign banks, often in partnership with American lenders, are using every ploy from giveaways to cold calling to ingrain the buy-now, pay later concept. See the latest edition of the Library's Minding Your Business newsletter (pdf) for details.

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Has the crest of the wave hit the beach? If moribund subprime loans were hairballs, could we say that the economy has coughed most of them up?

Whatever unlovely analogy you might care to use, this subject may be a drag on the economy for quite a while.  Try Richard Benson’s Titanic-and iceberg analogy.

Jack Guttentag uses an optometric analogy (disaster myopia).

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It’s a common offhand assertion that 90% of new businesses fail. This has been so often heard for so long that it’s almost acquired the status of a self-evident truth. Where and what is the statistical verification for this? Well, it turns out that there really isn’t any. Studies that have been done tend to be fragmentary and dated. For a very good overview of what is known, Rhonda Abrams (whose views are well worth hearing on any business subject) covers this here.

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